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The Delicate Art of Balancing The Budget

Government budgets represent between 25% price of adhering to an economic
and 50% of he Gross Domestic Product fad.Balanced or low deficits budgets are
(GDP), depending on the country. The a good things when the economy is roaring
members of the European Union (Germany, ahead. But there are certain things that
France) and the Scandinavian countries only governments can do: defending the
represent the apex of this encroachment country, maintaining law and order,
upon the national resources. Other disaster relief, ensuring market
countries (Great Britain, to name one) competition. One of the more important
fare better. But even the more developed functions of any administration is to act
countries in South East Asia do not clear anti-cyclically, to encourage economic
the 25% hurdle.The government budget, activity in times of recession - and to
therefore, is the single most important hold the economic horses when they go
economic decision, the most crucial wild. A government cannot do this when
economic event every (fiscal) year.The its hands are tied behind its back by a
government finances its budget mainly by totally arbitrary limitation: no more
taxing individuals and corporations. than 3% budget deficit (why 3? why not
Ultimately, households pay the bill. Even 2.65%?). This Maastricht criterion will
corporations are owned by individuals and prove, in the long run, to be lethal to
earn their money by selling products and the very idea of a European Union.What is
services to individuals. Higher taxes are a budget?It is a program. It charts the
likely to be passed on to customers or to government's expenditures and allocates
employees. There are numerous kinds of its resources for a period of one fiscal
taxes, regressive and progressive, direct year. Some fiscal years start and end in
and indirect, on earnings and on property January (Israel), others in October (the
- but they all serve to finance the USA). But budgets always relate to fiscal
budget.Another method of financing the years because of their dependence on tax
budget is by borrowing either in the revenues. Modern government budgets make
capital markets (by selling bonds as the a clear separation between current
government of the USA does) - or by expenditures and the development
"voluntarily" deducting part of the wages elements. These were mixed in the past
(as Israel used to do until a decade and this served to cloud issues and to
ago). Such borrowing has grave disguise gross misuse of funds.But this
repercussions: the national debt grows, structural separation did not change
debt service (repayments of interest on anything basic. Budgets are statements,
the debt plus the principal of the debt) mainly of policy. The budget delineates
consumes more and more of the national clearly - and if it doesn't do so, it
resources and the government crowds surrenders through careful reading and
individuals and - more importantly - analysis - the political, economic and
businesses out of the credit markets. In social priorities and goals of the
other words, the money that is lent to government which prepared it. Politicians
the government is not available to can talk a lot about the importance of
finance consumption, investments and this or that - but it is only when they
working capital for businesses. The put (other people's) money where their
competition on the scarce resource of mouth is that an indisputable priority is
capital increases its price, interest established. Money talks (loudly) and the
rates. Government borrowing has budget proclaims the true face of the
disastrous economic consequences in the government which conceived it.In this
long term: reduced consumption, sense, a budget is also a monitoring
heightened interest rates, stagnant tool. By comparing financial projections,
investments - all leading to recession finances allocated to specific purposes
and negative or reduced growth in the budget - to the actual use made of
rates.Recognizing these unfortunate the funds and to the extent that they
results, governments the world over have were expended, it becomes clear whether
been converted to the new religion of the government "has kept its word",
balanced budgets or, at least, reduced "changed its mind", or "reneged on its
and controlled budget deficits.The two promises". A budget is a promise, it is a
best known examples are the United States contract between the elected government
and the European Union.One of the things and the nation, it is approved by
which used to distinguish between parliament and has the status of a law. A
political camps in the USA - Democrats budget can be altered only through a vote
versus Republicans - was their attitude in parliament. It is a document of
towards the role of government in the unparalleled importance, second only to
economy. The Democrats believed in an the constitution.Still, budgets (moreso
active government, whose role it is to than constitutions) are like living
ameliorate the excesses of the markets. organisms:As circumstances change, new
This logically led to less hysteria over priorities and emergencies alter the
the size of budget deficits. The allocation of resources. The budget is
Republicans firmly believe in Bad Big based on economic projections and
Government and in the overriding predictions, not all of them successful
necessity to constrain it and to abolish and come true.This is why additional or
as many of its functions as politically supplementary budgets are introduced by
and economically feasible. Small governments during the fiscal year. These
Government was a pillar of the treaty are updated versions of the original
with the people which led the Republicans budget. They reflect the changed reality
to their landslide Congressional victory better than the outdated original. They
in 1994.It is an absurd that it was a help to redefine national priorities,
Republican president (Reagan) who was reallocate resources, modify national
responsible for the biggest increase in spending.These budgets usually include
the national debt since the USA was tax increases, new economic or social
established. He reduced the interference programs, or additional specific
of government in economic life mainly by expenditures. In some countries, the
reducing taxes - without the commensurate legislator must show where will money be
slimming down of government itself. The found to finance the newfound enthusiasm
result was apocalyptic: enormous twin embedded in the new expenditure
deficits (budget and trade), a collapse items.Budgets are also influenced by
in the exchange rates of the Dollar exogenic factors, not controlled by the
against all major currencies, recession government. Force Majeure cases, like the
and the steepest stock market crash in floods in the Czech Republic (3 billion
1987.Today, the USA owes 5 trillion USD. USD) and in Poland (2 billion USD).
True, this is only 60% of the GNP - but Geopolitical processes like wars and
this time statistics is misleading. The peace agreements in the Middle East (the
interest payments on this "benign" level 1979 peace cost Israel almost 4 billion
of debt amount to 15% of the budget, or USD to implement). The onerous,
250,000,000,000 USD per annum. This is depressingly uniform demands of the IMF
more than any other expenditure item in from poor countries: austerity, fiscal
the budget, barring defence. And it is tightening, a monetary squeeze,
getting worse.This, however, belongs to privatization, deregulation and so
the past. Clinton is as much a Republican on.Some countries are voluntarily subject
as any and both parties share the to externalities: the EU countries agreed
conviction that the budget must be to amend their budget in order to comply
balanced by the beginning of the century. with the Maastricht criteria. The French
It seems that it is well on its way and German Premiers appointed special
there. The projections of the objective committees to review the budget. The
and reliable Congressional Budget Office reports submitted by these committees
(CBO) are positive: the budget will be forced the governments to cut spending,
balance shortly, long before it was increase taxes and tighten the fiscal
projected to do so.But it was an discipline (never mind that the French
American, Benjamin Franklin, who once committee failed to take into account the
(1789) said: "Only two things are certain renaissance of the French economy and
in this world - death and taxes". This greatly exaggerated the projected budget
spectre of a balanced budget already deficit). In all these cases an act of
provokes interest group to pressurize the rebalancing the budget is called for.The
administration to be less tight fisted USA has a peculiar budgetary procedure.
and possessed more of a social Its Federal budget is made up of 13
conscience.Nowhere was the new "less separate bills. They are submitted to
deficits" doctrine more apparent than in Congress for approval by the
the Maastricht Treaty and, especially, in administration. When the President and
its criteria. The latter determine which Congress disagree, some of the bills are
of the member countries of the EU will not approved and certain government
join the Euro single currency zone in the operations are shut down. This happened
first wave of entrants in 1999. One of in the 1996 fiscal year. In fact, the
the more important criteria is that the budget for fiscal year 1996 has been
deficit in the government's budget will approved only after the 1997 budget
not exceed 3.0% of GDP ("three point was.In the case of such a deadlock, stop
zero" - emphasize the Germans who are gap budgets are passed by Congress to
very worried about the stability of the allow the government to continue to
currency which will replace their function until a final budget is
treasured DM).As a result of this rigid positively voted on.Budget are acts of
criterion, governments have increased humans. They represent hard data
taxes (France), imposed one time levies implausibly coupled with aspirations,
(Italy), engaged in creative accounting projections, goals and hopes. They are
(again France with many others) or prone to mistakes, greed, cronyism,
unsuccessfully tried to do so (the failed ulterior motives. The existence of a
attempt to revalue the gold reserves in mechanism to amend budgets is, therefore,
the coffers of the Bundesbank in of the essence and to be greeted. A
Germany). Some were aided by buoyant budget amendment is often ceased upon by
economies (France), others by favourable the opposition as proof of the
public opinion (Italy), yet others by government's fallibility and failure. But
farsightedness (Germany's Kohl). All of in a changing world - they who do not
them pay a dear economic, political and adapt through change are doomed.
social price. By restraining the budget Governments that amend their budgets
deficit, they induce recession or fail to midway merely admit that they are made of
encourage budding economic expansions. humans and are doing their nation a
Unemployment rates remain stubbornly service.
high, so do interest rates.This is the




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